US Retail Sales (M/M)


Fx News Spike Signals by Crazy Cat, 2019/04/18

Release Time: 08:30 New York time (EST)
Primary currency pair: USD/JPY
Forecast: 1.0%
Prior: -0.2%
LT1 (Lower Trigger 1): -0.6 [SELL]
UT1 (Upper Trigger 1): +0.6 [BUY]
Safety: 3

If US Retail Sales (M/M) comes out at 0.4 or less ( -0.6 trigger), USD/JPY should go down by about 15 pips. If it comes out at +1.6 or better ( +0.6 trigger), USD/JPY should go up by about 15 pips.

IMPORTANT: It seems US Retail Sales comes slightly faster than US Retail Sales - Ex-Autos (M/M) or US Retail Sales - Ex-Autos & Gas so I would switch focus on that report.

Based on 70 estimates, median estimate is 1.0% and the average estimate is 0.94%. The highest estimate is 1.3% (one estimate), then 1.2% (11 estimates), 1.1% (15 votes), then 1.0% (15 votes), 0.9% (6 estimates), 0.8% (8 votes), 0.7% (eight votes), 0.6% (two votes), then 0.5% (one vote), thrn 0.3% (two estimates), and finally 0.1% (one estimate). One standard deviation is +/- 0.24, up from 0.20 last time.

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