US FOMC Interest Rates


Fx News Spike Signals by Crazy Cat, 2019/05/01

Report name: US FOMC Interest Rate Decision - Max
Release Time: 14:00 New York time (EST)
Primary currency pair: USD/JPY
Forecast: 2.50
Prior: 2.50
LT1 (Lower Trigger 1): -0.25 [SELL] (means a 25 bp cut)
UT1 (Upper Trigger 1): +0.25 [BUY] (means a 25 bp hike)
Safety: 1

There are 90 estimates, one economist expects a cut from 2.50 to 2.25, one economist expects a hike from 2.50% to 2.75% and 88 economists expect no change this time. The median estimate is 2.50 and the average estimate is 2.50%. One standard deviation is 0.04%.

If they cut to 2.25% or lower ( -0.25 deviation in this case), it would be a great sell signal on USD/JPY. It's not likely to happen but if it does happen, it should be a very good price movement.

If there is no change in interest rates so it would stay at 2.50% level ( 0.00 deviation in this case), it's a no trade.

If they hike to 2.75% or higher (+0.25 deviation in this case), it would be a great buy signal on USD/JPY. It's not likely to happen but if it does happen, it should be a very good price movement.

Most likely it will be just a no trade.

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