US FOMC Interest Rates


Fx News Spike Signals by Crazy Cat, 2018/11/08

Report name: US FOMC Interest Rate Decision - Max
Release Time: 14:00 New York time (EST)
Primary currency pair: USD/JPY
Forecast: 2.25
Prior: 2.25
LT1 (Lower Trigger 1): -0.25 [SELL] (means a 25 bp cut)
UT1 (Upper Trigger 1): +0.25 [BUY] (means a 25 bp hike)
Safety: 1

There are 85 estimates, and all 85 economists expect no change this time. The median estimate is 2.25 and the average estimate is 2.25%. One standard deviation is 0.00%.

If they cut to 2.00% or lower ( -0.25 deviation in this case), it would be a great sell signal on USD/JPY but this scenario will not happen.

If there is no change in interest rates so it would stay at 2.25% level ( 0.00 deviation in this case), it's a no trade.

If they hike to 2.50% or higher (+0.25 deviation in this case), it would be a great buy signal on USD/JPY. It's not likely to happen but if it does happen, it should be a very good price movement.

Most likely it will be just a no trade.

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