US CPI (M/M)


Fx News Spike Signals by Crazy Cat, 2018/11/14

Release Time: 08:30 New York time (EST)
Primary currency pair: USD/JPY
Forecast: 0.3%
Prior: 0.1%
LT1 (Lower Trigger 1): -0.1 [SELL]
UT1 (Upper Trigger 1): +0.1 [BUY]
Safety: 1

If US CPI (M/M) comes out at 0.2% or less ( -0.1 trigger), USD/JPY should go down by about 15 pips. If it comes out at +0.4 or higher ( +0.1 trigger), USD/JPY should go up by about 15 pips.

Based on 76 estimates, the median estimate is 0.3% and the average estimate is 0.3%. The highest estimate is +0.5% (two estimates), and then 0.4% (13 estimates), 0.3% (48 estimates), 0.2% (eight votes), 0.1% (four estimates) and finally, the lowest estimate is 0.0% (one estimate). One standard deviation is 0.08%, about the same as last month.

Sometimes this report works quite well and sometimes not; +/- 0.1 triggers are quite aggressive so if you want to be a bit more conservative, consider +/- 0.2 triggers.

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