US ADP Employment Change


Fx News Spike Signals by Crazy Cat, 2018/12/05

Release Time: 08:15 New York time (EST)
Primary currency pair: USD/JPY
Forecast: 195K
Prior: 227K
LT1 (Lower Trigger 1): -60 [SELL]
UT1 (Upper Trigger 1): +60 [BUY]
Safety: 300

If US ADP Employment Change comes out at 135 or less ( -60 trigger), USD/JPY should go down by about 15 pips or more. If it comes out at +255K or better ( +60 trigger), USD/JPY should go up by about 15 pips or better.

Based on 34 estimates, the median estimate is 195K and the average estimate is 193K. The highest estimate is 235K (one estimate), and then 215K (three votes), then 210K (two estimates), 205K (one vote), and 200K (eight estimates).

The lowest estimate is 160K (one vote), then 165K (one estimate), 170K (two votes), 175K (three votes), 180K (two votes), 185K (one vote), 190K (four estimates), and finally 195K (five estimates).

One standard deviation is +/- 16K, down from 21K last month.

Currently, it doesn't look like this report causes significant moves on the Forex market so don't expect too much from it.

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