US ADP Employment Change


Fx News Spike Signals by Crazy Cat, 2019/01/30

Release Time: 08:15 New York time (EST)
Primary currency pair: USD/JPY
Forecast: 181K
Prior: 271K
LT1 (Lower Trigger 1): -60 [SELL]
UT1 (Upper Trigger 1): +60 [BUY]
Safety: 300

If US ADP Employment Change comes out at 121 or less ( -60 trigger), USD/JPY should go down by about 15 pips or more. If it comes out at +241K or better ( +60 trigger), USD/JPY should go up by about 15 pips or better.

Based on 34 estimates, the median estimate is 181K and the average estimate is 177K. The highest estimate is 220K (one estimate), and then 215K (one vote), then 210K (two estimates), 209K (one vote), 200K (two votes), 199K (one vote), 195K (three votes), 190K (two votes), 185K (three estimates) and 182K (one estimate).

The lowest estimate is 105K (one vote), then 110K (one estimate), 140K (one vote), 150K (three votes), 160K (four estimates), 165K (two votes), 170K (one estimate), 175K (two votes) and finally 180K (two estimates).

One standard deviation is +/- 27K, up from 12K last month.

Currently, it doesn't look like this report causes significant moves on the Forex market so don't expect too much from it.

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